Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.001004 1.148421e-03 0.001294 0.001453 0.001620 0.001789 0.001974
2025-05-18 0.000718 9.154357e-04 0.001124 0.001358 0.001613 0.001878 0.002173
2025-05-25 0.000536 7.678684e-04 0.001025 0.001323 0.001655 0.002008 0.002410
2025-06-01 0.000372 6.195199e-04 0.000908 0.001256 0.001653 0.002084 0.002581
2025-06-08 0.000267 5.245762e-04 0.000842 0.001237 0.001698 0.002206 0.002800
2025-06-15 0.000214 4.871722e-04 0.000839 0.001287 0.001818 0.002411 0.003108
2025-06-22 0.000140 4.068578e-04 0.000774 0.001257 0.001842 0.002503 0.003288
2025-06-29 0.000095 3.588124e-04 0.000744 0.001266 0.001908 0.002641 0.003518
2025-07-06 0.000084 3.628243e-04 0.000784 0.001361 0.002075 0.002894 0.003876
2025-07-13 0.000046 3.057117e-04 0.000733 0.001337 0.002097 0.002978 0.004041
2025-07-20 0.000015 2.404854e-04 0.000662 0.001283 0.002079 0.003012 0.004146
2025-07-27 0.000005 2.156394e-04 0.000649 0.001302 0.002150 0.003148 0.004368
2025-08-03 NaN 1.438083e-04 0.000563 0.001235 0.002133 0.003206 0.004530
2025-08-10 NaN 7.907754e-05 0.000468 0.001150 0.002090 0.003233 0.004658
2025-08-17 NaN 4.398010e-05 0.000415 0.001119 0.002115 0.003342 0.004882
2025-08-24 NaN 1.410479e-05 0.000347 0.001058 0.002097 0.003396 0.005042
2025-08-31 NaN 2.546604e-06 0.000309 0.001041 0.002135 0.003519 0.005283
2025-09-07 NaN 5.110073e-07 0.000311 0.001087 0.002261 0.003750 0.005652
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000272 0.001060 0.002282 0.003849 0.005863
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000255 0.001069 0.002353 0.004010 0.006146
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000280 0.001157 0.002534 0.004310 0.006599
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000248 0.001135 0.002559 0.004412 0.006809
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000205 0.001085 0.002541 0.004457 0.006950